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<p class="MsoNormal"> <b>北京(我的轮胎)<span>2025-4-30</span></b>据上海市场报道,<span>4</span>月份轿车轮胎零售市场整体销量环比表现平稳。全市轿车轮胎经销商销量调研数据显示:<span>100%</span>经销商表示销量平稳<span>,</span>无经销商表示销量上升或下降。主要原因:本月初虽恰逢清明假期,但是轮胎销售行业未有好转迹象。如今进入新能源电车购买时代,同时拥有燃油车、纯电车的市民不在少数,其中新能源车辆作为日常通勤代步工具,轮胎损耗低、替换周期未到。然而燃油车使用概率大幅降低,行驶里程减少的前提下除日常保养外,潜在的替换需求同步减弱。目前无论是轮胎销售,还是汽车保养业务均未有好转趋势,零售市场迟迟未能恢复至往年同期销售水平。次月初正值五一小长假,车流量增加的同时事故车数量同步增长,37%的经销商表示下游需求有望短暂的回升。考虑到春节过后零售市场销售不理想,零售商低频备货之下,代理商库存压力激增,销售高压的环境下,次月市场价格有望回落。 </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> <br /> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> 根据全市经销商信心指数调研数据显示,上海轿车轮胎经销商对5月份轮胎市场预测: </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> 1、价格预测:<span>50%</span>经销商预计价格下跌,<span>50%</span>经销商预计价格平稳,无经销商预计价格上涨。<span></span> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> 2、销量预测:<span>63%</span>经销商预计销量平稳,<span>37%</span>经销商预计销量上升,无经销商预计销量下降。<span></span> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> 3、库存预测:<span>100%</span>经销商预计维持现有库存水平,无经销商预计减少或增加现有库存水平。<span>4</span>月底经销商平均库存水平<span>56</span>天。 </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> <img 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" alt="" /> </p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:center;"> <span>1表示上涨 </span><span>-1</span><span>表示下跌 </span><span>0</span><span>表示平稳</span> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> <span>我的轮胎网经销商信心指数</span> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;"> <b>1</b><b>、指标解释<span></span></b> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;text-indent:21.0pt;"> 我的轮胎网经销商信心指数(<span>Mytyrenet Tyre Dealers' Confidence Index</span>),是预测轮胎行业未来<span>1-2</span>个月市场情况的先行指标,包括价格信心指数、销量信心指数、库存信心指数。<span></span> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;"> <b>2</b><b>、调查范围<span></span></b> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;text-indent:21.0pt;"> 调查的对象:从事卡客车轮胎经销商,<span>2023</span>年销售额在<span>200-500</span>万;从事轿车轮胎经销商,<span>2023</span>年销售额在<span>50-200</span>万。<span></span> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;"> <b>3</b><b>、调查方法<span></span></b> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;text-indent:21.0pt;"> 经销信心指数原始数据采用“定产品、定市场、定时间”直接派人对经销商的老板或者主管经营的经理人进行采集。<span></span> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;"> <b>4</b><b>、指数的应用<span></span></b> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;text-indent:21.0pt;"> 轮胎上游企业、轮胎厂和一级代理商可以根据库存指数的变化来调整生产计划和库存计划,对市场进行前瞻性预判。<span></span> </p>
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