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<p class="MsoNormal"> <b>北京(我的轮胎)<span>2025-6-30</span></b>据山东市场报道,<span>6</span>月份轿车轮胎零售市场整体销量趋稳。全省轿车轮胎经销商销量调研数据显示:<span>37%</span>经销商表示销量下降<span>,63%</span>经销商表示销量平稳,无经销商表示销量上升。主要原因:需求端本就不旺的前提下,本月正值中、高考以及618电商大促,局部地区出现短暂的车主进店率下滑现象。然而零售市场持续平淡的最根本因素在于车主为减少日常通勤开支,更换新能源车辆的比率越来越高,燃油车胎替换需求减弱。库存流转缓慢之下,下游备货意愿不强,预计价格基本面将维持稳势,但不排除次月部分品牌代理商结合地域行情对市场价格单独给予支持。虽然高温天气持续,但是酷暑难耐,大众减少不必要出行概率增加,自然环境对终端替换需求带动不强烈,预计7月销售水平维持现状。 </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> <br /> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> 根据全省经销商信心指数调研数据显示,山东省轿车轮胎经销商对7月份轮胎市场预测: </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> 1、价格预测:<span>25%</span>经销商预计价格下跌,<span>62%</span>经销商预计价格平稳,<span>13%</span>经销商预计价格上涨。<span></span> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> 2、销量预测:<span>62%</span>经销商预计销量平稳,<span>38%</span>经销商预计销量上升<span>, </span>无经销商预计销量下降。<span></span> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> 3、库存预测<span>: 100%</span>经销商预计维持现有库存水平,无经销商预计增加或缩减现有库存水平。<span>6</span>月底经销商平均库存水平<span>69</span>天。 </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> <img 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" alt="" /> </p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:center;"> <span>1表示上涨 </span><span>-1</span><span>表示下跌 </span><span>0</span><span>表示平稳</span> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> <b>我的轮胎网经销商信心指数</b> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;"> <b>1</b><b>、指标解释<span></span></b> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;text-indent:15.75pt;"> 我的轮胎网经销商信心指数(<span>Mytyrenet Tyre Dealers' Confidence Index</span>),是预测轮胎行业未来<span>1-2</span>个月市场情况的先行指标,包括价指数、销量信心指数、库存信心指数。<span></span> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;"> <b>2</b><b>、调查范围<span></span></b> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;text-indent:21.0pt;"> 调查的对象:从事卡客车轮胎经销商,<span>2024</span>年销售额在<span>200-500</span>万;从事轿车轮胎经销商,<span>2024</span>年销售额在<span>50-200</span>万。<span></span> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;"> <b>3</b><b>、调查方法<span></span></b> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;text-indent:21.0pt;"> 经销信心指数原始数据采用“定产品、定市场、定时间”直接派人对经销商的老板或者主管经营的经理人进行采集。<span></span> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;"> <b>4</b><b>、指数的应用<span></span></b> </p> 轮胎上游企业、轮胎厂和一级代理商可以根据库存指数的变化来调整生产计划和库存计划,对市场进行前瞻性预判。
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