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<p class="MsoNormal"> <b>北京（我的轮胎）<span>2024-6-28</span></b>据上海市场报道，<span>6</span>月份轿车轮胎零售市场整体销量环比表现平稳。全市轿车轮胎经销商销量调研数据显示：<span>29%</span>经销商表示销量下降<span>,57%</span>经销商表示销量平稳<span>,14%</span>经销商表示销量上升。主要原因：虽然高温盛夏时节来临，但是市场经济效益欠佳，民众低消费现状持续，6月份高温天气之下，下游需求仍不强劲，零售市场持续平淡。次月进入暑期，旅游出行数量将会增加，但是多为远程游玩，可选择的交通方式多，而私家车的使用率偏低；另外7月份天气闷热，日常通勤外车主普遍减少户外活动，预计客流量难有好转迹象，经销商对次月零售市场普遍持平常心态。 </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> <br /> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> 根据全市经销商信心指数调研数据显示，上海轿车轮胎经销商对7月份轮胎市场预测： </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> <span></span> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> 1、价格预测：<span>100%</span>经销商预计价格平稳，无经销商预计价格上涨或下跌。<span></span> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> 2、销量预测：<span>100%</span>经销商预计销量平稳，无经销商预计销量上升或下降。<span></span> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> 3、库存预测：<span>100%</span>经销商预计维持现有库存水平，无经销商预计缩减或增加现有库存水平。<span>6</span>月底经销商平均库存水平<span>62</span>天。 </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> <img 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" alt="" /> </p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:center;"> <span>1表示上涨 </span><span>-1</span><span>表示下跌 </span><span>0</span><span>表示平稳</span> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> <span>我的轮胎网经销商信心指数</span> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;"> <b>1</b><b>、指标解释<span></span></b> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;text-indent:21.0pt;"> 我的轮胎网经销商信心指数（<span>Mytyrenet Tyre Dealers' Confidence Index</span>），是预测轮胎行业未来<span>1-2</span>个月市场情况的先行指标，包括价格信心指数、销量信心指数、库存信心指数。<span></span> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;"> <b>2</b><b>、调查范围<span></span></b> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;text-indent:21.0pt;"> 调查的对象：从事卡客车轮胎经销商，<span>2023</span>年销售额在<span>200-500</span>万；从事轿车轮胎经销商，<span>2023</span>年销售额在<span>50-200</span>万。<span></span> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;"> <b>3</b><b>、调查方法<span></span></b> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;text-indent:21.0pt;"> 经销信心指数原始数据采用“定产品、定市场、定时间”直接派人对经销商的老板或者主管经营的经理人进行采集。<span></span> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;"> <b>4</b><b>、指数的应用<span></span></b> </p> 轮胎上游企业、轮胎厂和一级代理商可以根据库存指数的变化来调整生产计划和库存计划，对市场进行前瞻性预判。
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