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<p class="MsoNormal"> <b>北京（我的轮胎）<span>2024</span></b><b>-6-28</b>据江苏市场报道，<span>6</span>月份卡客车轮胎市场整体销量环比表现平稳。全省卡客车轮胎经销商销量调研数据显示：<span>25%</span>的经销商表示销量下降<span>, 62%</span>经销商表示销量平稳<span>,13%</span>经销商表示销量上升。主要原因：虽然<span>6</span>月室外气温升高且进入汛期、雨水量增加，部分车主对性能达到极限的轮胎仍有替换需求，但是货运市场大环境仍未改善、基本面相对稳定，叠加多数货运车主于盛夏前夕陆续更换轮胎，在<span>5</span>月销量增长趋势较大的前提下，<span>6</span>月零售销量难再继续向上增长。虽然短期内销售水平稳步运行，但是今年整体市场行情不容乐观，代理商渠道降价促销也难带动下游备货欲望，预计次月市场价格将持续平稳。而在高温、高湿环境下，仍将有部分车主考虑到行驶安全问题更换轮胎，销量有望稳中回升。 </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> <br /> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> 根据全省经销商信心指数调研数据显示，江苏卡客车轮胎经销商对7月份轮胎市场预测： </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> <span></span> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> 1、价格预测：<span>100%</span>经销商预计价格平稳<span>,</span>无经销商预计价格上涨或下跌。<span></span> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> 2、销量预测：无经销商预计销量下降，<span>63%</span>经销商预计销量平稳，<span>37%</span>经销商预计销量上升。<span></span> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> 3、库存预测：<span>87%</span>经销商预计维持现有库存水平，<span>13%</span>经销商预计减少库存水平<span>, </span>无经销商预计增加库存水平。<span>6</span>月底经销商平均库存水平<span>49</span>天。 </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> <img 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1EYzkQqrTofcGNOKuovYOu+OqmLQQHuZMGrihj8L1SzsZMtAuQTVWfa7J6TlRzQSo6eQ/Ghs1IXQzEYzkSoabiEzXtOSl0Mnyg+dJbjaMhnzhS+h9ayQ1IXw+vYIkDe1mzsxMYPjjucruSAtnVfnSwe0K4EDGcibPm0NqCvkrftq2M3DXmdydiGs7t3Sl0Mnyk5ei5ghjmQ9DZ+cNzlOGAlB7SCXScCuh71FoYzgcqqWwJ+AHBbuwm7vg2sLluS3tldOxV/A4ArhV+fkboIFADE1DNKDWht7SZ8frhR6mLIHsOZAJanHgeDzw83svWMvKbdcBoNxXukLobPGZqusPWMPCY25Cs1oG0vOcV6xgWGMwGCKbCYzN3YXnJK6mJQgPj+/UKpi+A3hV+fYXcNuc3d3hklBjSTuZu9NC4wnLnQ0WkOup2o5Oi5gO/CJd9rN5wOyJsAHDE0XWF3DbnF094ZJQa0YGr0cAfDmQu7vv0+KHcgjqEhTwVTq5nFrm+/Z+sZieaNoKK0gMbWM+cYzlwI1nEklfUX+MsB5LbuLhMuVlZIXQy/a2s3obbhktTFIIX5vMI7La5KC2ifH27kxYwDDGdONLReVfxPNLnLZO5GRf0FqYtBCtVadijg79B0pKy2VeoikII0Gzu9Ws8oKaCZzN2oZD1jl1rqAshZsLaaWZTXtiI7NV7qYpACtVVWSl0EUaoP/Bk1X74LABg0JBKz/20LwnQJaDx+AIf/9lK/eYcMi8OPnvwzuq5fxRevL8MNUyfGz/gpUuc/BgDY+/dS7P3vX+O9996DWs1TLDnni4vg11UZ+NWtgOrot15ft7eV1bYiM2W41MWQHZ45nKg8fVHqIkiqov4CTOZuaNRsYCVxlHQjwPUOIzouNCB37T6oQkJRfeDPOF2+G6nzH0Pi1DlInDqnb97G4wfQ9q9qhKg1MJS+h1vu+XckTp2LIztfRrfZhK7rV1HyznqcOH6UwYwE8VU9o5SAxl8MsI+1rgNt7aag32k6Os0cP0OiGauOK+rHzQeHR+G2nz4PVUgoAOBy0ykMHT52wHw3uq6j7pv3MWJytsN1HdvzGqblPo2jBt7tTK75ultPCV2czcZOPh3ADoYzB9gP3ovjZ0isC+VlUhdBtOoDf8ZHa+/GR2vvRlj0CIxOv2fAPE3V32LI0FhEJ00GAOgzFuEfn/0eH7+0EAmTslBb+h4Sku9AzOjUoG91J2GqzrT5fEC8EgJaRT2PF1sMZw4YmtulLoIsGJr4OZA4JqNR6iKIljLn51i0bj8WrdsPtSYMZTvWoKf7Rt90S6vZhJl5fS1sg8Oj8JPnP8GidfsRGa9H9w0zIuP1KF4/H2uX3Ypt27ZJ9XZIIWobL/tlO3IPaCd+UN45w9cYzhwwBuGzzexpNl6TugikMKY2ZQ8H0GcswqWmely7dPOGoKbqb2G6egm6kZMGzH+9w4jK3b9DyuxHUPf1Dsz4RQFm/fIP+Oyzz2A283E05FjzpU6/bUvOAS0YnyXqCsOZA9xZejGkklidzeelLoIojccPoOrzt/r+bj1dCUAFbWT0zXmqDiBl9qMIUWv6LXuj6zqO/O03yFr2cr9pYVEJ6FGF+rzspGz+Pr/KNaAZ269LXQTZ4e1EDrDFqJfJ3I2OTjPCtdxVSBildWsmpMxA3Tfv46O1dwO4+agMS9hqa6zG5ZYzmH7/mgHL1h0sRNLUuQjTJQAAJs56GAe3/ge6b5ix6+MveMcmOSVFI4Ac7+JkY8hAPHM4wBajm9raTQxnJIjJ2Ka4h8+GDhqM2Su3OJyuS0zBj5581+60lDk/HzBvzoufAwAmTknzXiEpIEnVYiTHgNZs7ERclFbqYsgGa1w7OjrNPruDxvJQy5kr3kDM6NQBr1ukLXqm744xR9OudxjtPgSzrbEa9Qffx/T71/QNXvaEsf06kmLDPF4PBT6ljzfzpmaj/8YTkTJJ2WJkCWhy0dHZBYDhzILhzA5f/aZk+XsvIix6BEak3Nnv9esdRpz44o/48a/+ijBdAtoaq1G24wXE6tMQqtE6nPbD0c/tPgSzcvfvMHvlFq8EM4CVDAnX3dUldREAAPeFN2JnR6LUxSBySA7n1ddVGbg11PkzCR01Drjz6xnOGg74W879MZz5UcZD6wH0hjRrracrMXLKXX3jVnSJKYhOmoxWQyVCB2kdTrPH8hBM24HLnoiK8N66KLBponRSFwEAMPrgh7hv5v2SBjQOBSBn5HJePXo13OE0ew0HR3a+jKRb7nbr1zO83XAQyHi3ph3+7ve+0vrDgNeGJox3Oc3ZQzC9SSeTkwjJnzYuTuoi9Bl98EPcF94o2fblUvmSPGnUIQET4MX8eoajhoO4qCG+Kp4iBcae4QO6CI3s7yCxPAQT6G0ubr/4r76HYHbfMPcbt+aJqIjBHq+DgodGp5PN2DMpW9B0PG7IhXCtWtbdeYPDo3D7g/nYv/nn6L5hHnAns4W9X8/44vVlqPzoVaQtekZQwwEvZvpjy5kDUgeSy02nBE9z9BDM83Xl/Z5y7i62nJEYcunatJCqBY13npErSmgtOl9bhsER0Zi5fBOut1/EP/dv7Tdd7K9nfLT2bvxQ8Vm/dYRr1dCoGUes8dNwwJ+BJH5SJhr+UYKrbU0AelvBLjacRKw+zek0wPlDMENCPW8YZQVDYml0UVIXYQB/BzRe0JAQct9PGo8fwKVzdfjxr/6CmDG3YOHqPWg1HMOFH6r65nHn1zNsGw7k/jlIgd2aDviiibX8vRdxrvobAMC56m8waEgkZv/bFugSUzB1weP44vVlffPOXPEGwnQJCNMlOJwGOH8I5swVb3g88JJdMySWmJazNWXf4eC53guP+CFDsP1Hc6EJDcE71TV4p7oWABA5aBDenjMLI8LCYLxuQt6+v6Pzxg08MGEcHk+dAgA42WZEYV09Xrz9NoSqVHa35c8uTqlb3kkZlNaVZzZdQ/uFs/1ec+fXM2wbDni8DMRw5kBitPef62W5W9Pu9mzufBE6zdlDML1BaScPkt6wKaloKtnvcr41Zd9hZHgYvlyc0+9143UTzrZ3YP+inyBUpcI71TXYfdqAx1OnoMhgwJO3pGJuUiJ+c7gCphvduGo245WKo3h79iyHwczCXwEtfUK065ko6OnjIqQuglOJU+egseoA9qyb1/da2qJn+saOufvrGbYNB/oEeX8OUmA4cyB9QjS2lzge9xUsMifFSl0EUpjo9HSX8xivm9DQ3oEXp982YFrUYA1emH5zHfWXLmNGQrzDdb169BhW3XoLNKHCRmn4I6CljWM4I9dSx8prfKY9zhoV3P31DFs8XgbimDMH9AmRHG8FIG1CjNRFIIXRROkQlTrV6Tznrl5FxKBBuPeTzzC7qBizi4rxX1Un+qa/U13T9/rI8DAsHDMaALBYr8eb/6jCguJPcUdCPHbU1WFGQjymxog7uftyDFq4Vq2ISpekFxelhT4hUupiSEqjDuHxYgfDmRPpQR5MkpOGcaAmuUWX5vp3JY2m6/jk3nvw5eIcFN0zH3sM3+P4hYsAgF+kJOPLxTn4cnEOwtRq/PpQOW709CBqsAZ7cxbiy8U50A8diq7uHuiHDsWP93yC2UXF+PT7gc8FdMRXAS3YzxskTmZycPdOpI7V8U5NO/iJOJER5F16wf7+yX1xM2eJmj9qsAbT44bbnbZYr0f9pctovnat7zXjdRNeqTiKnydPwl9r6/DanXfgrbuyUXa+GTd6egRv1xcBjV00JEbqGPnd3exPrGfsYzhzItgTfWaK/cqSyBVtXBzCkpIcTtcPjUSYWo0aoxFA792W/2xrQ+wQLUoaGvt1cVa0tEAFIGZw7zCDzhs3sOFwBTbekdFvnNmIsDCoQ8Qfr94MaBp1CI8bEiV1rC5gfinAHWxpti949wgBNOoQpE2IQVl1i9RF8bu4KC2SYr1/xyoFjxHzFuDUtj/ZnaYNDcVT027Bk6XfoKu7GwCwOftOjAgLg27wYBTWn8LsomIA/R+xAQCFdfW4O2kkRoT17p/LJk3sW8/m7Dtd3rFpj7duEpg/PTGoK1pyT3ZqPPYelu6nxqTCsd2O8SziQt6ssUEZznIyRkldBFK4kQsW4OzunQ5/ymmyLgpf5N474HVtaCjenu24W/QXKcmC1iOWpwFNow7B0hljPC4HBZ8HZ+lRcvQcTOZuqYviV3mzxkpdBNkK3j47gfQJkUHXTaFPiMT86f7/LUIKLCGDNBi/fIXUxRDFky7O+dMTeQMNuUUXoQm6c276hJigq1vFYDgT4JG544Nq7FnerLFB9X7Jd+JmzkKEfpzUxRDFnYCmi9Cw1Yw8snTGmKA67z4yV1nnBX8Lnj3BA0mxYUFzVZOcNIxXM+RVYx7Mk7oIookNaEtnjGGrGXlEF6HBg7P0UhfDLzJThgf9891cYTgTKFiualYuHPjjtUSeiM3MQmxmltTFEE1oQIuL0gbNxRv5Vk7WqKAI+Rxr5lrgpw0v0UVosHzeRKmL4VPZqfG8miGfmLjyMWh0ynsKuKuAFq5V48WHbw2KCzfyPY06JODrmZysUaxnBOAZRYQF0xORner4N/6UTJ8QiSdyJ0tdDApQmigdpjz3a4RolNcq4CygPZk7mY+cIa/KTo1HTlZg3i2fPiEGKwI8fHoLw5lIT+RODrjUr4vQYPUDU3n1Tz41dFIykp94UupiuMVeQHtk7niOzySfWDFvYsA9nDUuSotVS6dIXQzFYG0skkYdgtUPTA2YcQEadQiee2AqHwRIfhE3cxZG3/dTqYvhFuuAlp0aj/tm8u5M8p1VS6cEzHnZ0v3PBzQLx3DmhrgoLZ4LkJamlQuTkZw0TOpiUBDR/+xRRd4gAPQGtBWjOzgEgHwukAINu//FU366kEhy0jA8kTtZ0QEt7y495t46QupiUBCa8tyvkZSTK3UxRIvNzMK9y+Yr+rgn5UiKDcOqpVMUvb+tmDeR3f9uUO43LgPZqfF48eFpiruy0ahDsHJhMvLuCo5n6pA8jV/+vzFx5WOKuUlgzIMP9d7UMEgZ5aXAkD4hBhseTVPcUBrLEKBAvbnB1xjOPJQ6VodNv8xQTJNtuFaNDY+mYQGfy0QyMHL+PZi24TdQh4dLXRSHQjQaTF71DMbmPSR1UShIJScNw2u/zFDMEJS4KC1eWX4bW8w8wHDmBb074nTZ74j6hEhsUtABTsFh6KRk3PbaG7L8mSeNToe03/4OcTMd/xA7kT/oIjTY8Gia7B/nZGmwCLSnGvgbw5mXhGvVWP3AVNnewZWdGo9Xlt8WMHf/UGDRxsXhttdeR/IT/yGLh9Wqw8Mx5sGHcPvm/5JlaKTgpFGHYNXSKbJ9VlhO1ii89Gia4ob6yBE/QS97ZO54zE9PxNZ9dSirbpG6OEhOGoZH5o5D6ljpKzwiVxLm3o247Gw0FO/B2V07Ye7o8Ov2QzQajJy/AKOW3gdNFI8ZkqecrFHITBkum3omdawOK+ZNYGuZFzGc+UBclBarH5iKmoZL2F5yGlVn2vxehqTYMD4kkxQpZJAGo5f+FCPn34Ozu3eioXgPuk0mn283Ye7dGPPgQ9DGxfl8W0SestQzhqYr2LqvXpJ6Rp8QiRXzJvDi3wcYznwoOWkYXno0DWXVLSj8+gwMTVd8vs24KC2WzhjDAf+keOrwcOh/9ijGPJiHixUVuFBehouVFTC1eacSCtFoEJ2WDl1aGmIzs9hSRoqkT4jES4+moepMG7buq/dbPcNHZPgWw5kfZKYMR2bKcDQbO1FW3YKy2lavXuXoEyKRmRyLzORYNitTwAkZpEFsZlbfg2sv19ag5WAp2g0GGKuOi1qXRqdDdFo6YjIyEZ2ezsdiUMDoHYh/OwxNV1BRfxHlta2oabjktfXrEyKRPiEaGZNieVOZHzCc+VFclBY5WaOQkzUKHZ1mlFW3oPL0RbS1m0SFteSkYYiK0CBtXDQyU4Yr7vk3RJ4YOikZQycl93vtamMDTG1t6O7qwuWaGgBAWFJiXwkCrskAAAQ/SURBVGtYVOpUv5eTSAr6hEjoEyJx38wx6Og0o6L+AipPX4ShqV1Uq1pSbBj0CZFIGxeNtAkxrGf8jOFMIuFaNebeOmLAE/qbjZ1oNl4DAFR9b8SkxKHQqEMQFTFYMc9SI/K3sMQkhCUmAQCi09IlLg2RPIRr1chOjR/w+I2G1qswtl+HydyN2sbL0MdHIFyrRrhWzd4XmWA4k5m4KG3f4y44yJKIiLwtKTas72I/fUKMxKUhe/icMyIiIiIZYTgjIiIikhGGMyIiIiIZYTgjIiIikhGGMyIiIiIZYTgjIiIikhGGMyIiIiIZYTgjIiIikhGGMyIiIiIZYTgjIiIikhGGMyIiIiIZYTgjIiIikhGGMyIiIiIZYTgjIiIikhGGMyIiIiIZYTgjIiIikhGGMyIiIiIZYTgjIiIikhGGMyIiIiIZYTgjIiIikhGGMyIiIiIZYTgjIiIikhGGMyIiIiIZYTgjIiIikhGGMyIiIiIZYTgjIiIikhGGMyIiIiIZUUtdACIii8XrSxxOK3px7oDXCgsL8dBDD6G0tBQzZ850uf6vluQ6nHbX7j0O12+xdetWLF++3OV2iIg8wXAmA84qJGBgpcQKgwhYsmQJxo0bh8WLF/tk/S0tLXj22Wdx+vRp6PV6lJeXY9GiRZgzZw70er1PtknkirsXMBZC6guxFzGOtin0ookGYremwlhXGD09PSgrK8Pzzz8Pg8EgddGI/Gr37t0oKCjw2fr379+P+++/vy+IZWRkICsrCwcOHPDZNom8SYr6YsmSJfjuu+98dtEULBjOFIYVBpF/VFdXD3ht2rRpEpSEyD1S1Be+vmgKFgxnCsMKg4iIhGB9oVwMZ0REAh07dkzqIhDJRn5+PlQqFVQqFbZt2yZ1cQIKw1kAYIVB5H0LFy7Ejh07+sbnlJeX49ChQ5gzZ47EJSNynzfri/z8fPT09KCnp4c3pXkZw5nCsMIg6rVkyRKoVCoUFRUhOzsb0dHRXh3onJGRgU2bNmHcuHFQqVTIzMzEhx9+yDs1STFYXygXH6WhMNYVhkVpaSkrDAoI9h4F4Mju3btFr1/IYwCs5eXlIS8vT/R2iORAivpiyZIlKCoqAgAUFRVBp9PhyJEjrKNEYjiTATEVEsAKg4goWPmjvhB7EWPNnYsmGojdmkREREQywnBGREREJCMMZ0REREQywnBGREREJCMMZ0REREQywnBGREREJCMMZ0REREQywnBGREREJCMMZ0REREQywnBGREREJCMMZ0REREQywnBGREREJBPr1q1jOCMiIiKSg3Xr1gFgyxkRERGR5CzBDADUEpaDSLG0Wi02btwodTGIFEmr1UpdBCLZWbt2bV9AU/X09PQAwKZNm9DZ2SlpwYiUQKvV4qmnnpK6GESKx3qHqJd1vbJu3bqb4YyIiIiIpMcxZ0REREQywnBGREREJCP/H10kVOYqShaQAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC" alt="" /> </p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:center;"> <span>1表示上涨</span><span> -1</span><span>表示下跌</span><span> 0</span><span>表示平稳</span> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> <span>我的轮胎网经销商信心指数</span> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;"> <b>1</b><b>、指标解释<span></span></b> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;text-indent:18.0pt;"> 我的轮胎网经销商信心指数（<span>Mytyrenet Tyre Dealers' Confidence Index</span>），是预测轮胎行业未来<span>1-2</span>个月市场情况的先行指标，包括价格信心指数、销量信心指数、库存信心指数。<span></span> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;"> <b>2</b><b>、调查范围<span></span></b> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;text-indent:18.0pt;"> 调查的对象：从事卡客车轮胎经销商，<span>2023</span>年销售额在<span>200-500</span>万；从事轿车轮胎经销商，<span>2023</span>年销售额在<span>50-200</span>万。<span></span> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;"> <b>3</b><b>、调查方法<span></span></b> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;text-indent:18.0pt;"> 经销信心指数原始数据采用“定产品、定市场、定时间”直接派人对经销商的老板或者主管经营的经理人进行采集。<span></span> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;"> <b>4</b><b>、指数的应用<span></span></b> </p> 轮胎上游企业、轮胎厂和一级代理商可以根据库存指数的变化来调整生产计划和库存计划，对市场进行前瞻性预判。
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