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<p class="MsoNormal"> <b>北京（我的轮胎）<span>2025-7-31</span></b>据上海市场报道，<span>7</span>月份轿车轮胎零售市场整体销量环比趋稳。全市轿车轮胎经销商销量调研数据显示：<span>13%</span>经销商表示销量下降<span>,62%</span>经销商表示销量平稳<span>,25%</span>经销商表示销量上升。主要原因：<span>7</span>月室外高温持续，并且夏季雨水量增加、路面湿滑，车主对磨损严重的轮胎替换需求增强；但是集中替换现象维持时间不长，综合来看总销售水平稳势为主。通常<span>7</span>月为学生参加暑期兴趣班阶段，<span>8</span>月份陆续放假，届时仍将有一波自驾出游小高峰，<span>25%</span>的经销商对次月销量增长信心十足。数月以来外资多品牌、以及部分国产品牌不断有跌价、促销等支持，基于市场价格已然走低，价格调整空间不大，稳势预期增强。 </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> <br /> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> 根据全市经销商信心指数调研数据显示，上海轿车轮胎经销商对8月份轮胎市场预测： </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> 1、价格预测：<span>100%</span>经销商预计价格平稳，无经销商预计价格上涨或下跌。<span></span> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> 2、销量预测：<span>75%</span>经销商预计销量平稳，<span>25%</span>经销商预计销量上升，无经销商预计销量下降。<span></span> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> 3、库存预测：<span>100%</span>经销商预计维持现有库存水平，无经销商预计减少或增加现有库存水平。<span>7</span>月底经销商平均库存水平<span>58</span>天。 </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> <img 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" alt="" /> </p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:center;"> <span>1表示上涨 </span><span>-1</span><span>表示下跌 </span><span>0</span><span>表示平稳</span> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> <span>我的轮胎网经销商信心指数</span> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;"> <b>1</b><b>、指标解释<span></span></b> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;text-indent:21.0pt;"> 我的轮胎网经销商信心指数（<span>Mytyrenet Tyre Dealers' Confidence Index</span>），是预测轮胎行业未来<span>1-2</span>个月市场情况的先行指标，包括价格信心指数、销量信心指数、库存信心指数。<span></span> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;"> <b>2</b><b>、调查范围<span></span></b> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;text-indent:21.0pt;"> 调查的对象：从事卡客车轮胎经销商，<span>2023</span>年销售额在<span>200-500</span>万；从事轿车轮胎经销商，<span>2023</span>年销售额在<span>50-200</span>万。<span></span> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;"> <b>3</b><b>、调查方法<span></span></b> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;text-indent:21.0pt;"> 经销信心指数原始数据采用“定产品、定市场、定时间”直接派人对经销商的老板或者主管经营的经理人进行采集。<span></span> </p> <p class="08" style="margin-left:0cm;text-align:justify;"> <b>4</b><b>、指数的应用<span></span></b> </p> 轮胎上游企业、轮胎厂和一级代理商可以根据库存指数的变化来调整生产计划和库存计划，对市场进行前瞻性预判。<br />
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